2011 Recap: Picking Mike Vick first overall was the rage last season thanks to a well known ESPN analyst with a big bald spot that shall remain nameless. What a big mistake. Vick didn’t get a full offseason as the starter and it showed with his erratic play on the field. Even though his had a “down” year he still finished with the 6th most fantasy points per game. Not to shabby for a guy pegged as a complete bust. After he only threw 6 INTs in 2010 (with the first in week 12, before doing so in 5 straight to end the season) he became a turnover machine in 2011. In 13 starts, Vick turned over the ball in all but 2 games (both vs the Cowboys) and had double digit turnovers in 4 games, including 4 INTs vs the Bills. Not gonna cut it in 2012.
What’s Changed: All his weapons are back and intact. D-Jax will hopefully stop pouting , Maclin will hopefully will stop getting hurt, Celek gained a rapport, and McCoy should be more involved in the passing game. Most importantly, this will be the first FULL offseason where Vick is the clear starter under Andy Reid. Remember that he will still play recklessly and open himself up to injury, which owners will have to take into consideration.
Outlook: This is 2012 and a whole new ADP. While the top 5 guys will be gone by the end of the 2nd round, Vick is hanging around till the 37th overall pick. With upside that will be on par with any of the top 5 and a price tag 14 picks after Cameron Newton is getting grabbed, means only one thing: muchos value. Now, if you choose to join me on this endeavor you better be prepared to grab a very solid backup. Jay Cutler (ADP 101) and Carson Palmer (ADP 125) could easily be had later in your draft and both have different bye weeks. Mike Kafka is Vick’s REAL backup and would have a ton of value off the waiver wire if Vick goes down. If you are planning a RB-RB-WR draft, Vick in the 4th is a steal and could help you take home the prize.
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Juan – has written 5290 posts on this site.
Juan Elway is an enthusiast of Fantasy Football, Movies, and Combat Sports, but don't call him an expert. He once shook Adrian Peterson's hand and AP winced in pain. Follow him on Twitter where you can partake in all sorts of shenanigans.