2012 Recap: No one goes nuts for rookie QBs in fantasy, but 2012 was an anomaly like we have never seen. Andrew Luck not only took a terrible team to a 11-5 record and a playoff berth, but he took the torch from one of the all time great QBs in Peyton Manning. He finished 9th among QBs with 22.9 FPG and completed 339/627 passes (54.1%) for 4374 yards, 23 TDs, and 18 INTs. He also did plenty of damage with his legs 62 carries for 255 yards and 5 TDs. Luck had no issue trying to fit the ball into tight spaces, which led to 18 INTs, 3rd worse in the NFL. Although he faded down the stretch, Luck showed unbelievable skills and could be considered one of the most talented QBs in the NFL.
What’s Changed: Gone is Colts OC Bruce Arians and his vertical attack, so Luck will have to adjust to life sans Arians. Good thing for Luck the Colts brought in his former OC from Standford, Pep Hamilton, which will make the transition easier for the second year QB. Hamilton runs more of a WCO, which will limit the down field throws of Arians, but should increase his completion percentage. Luck was under direst most of the season so they added OLs Hugh Thornton and Khaled Holmes in this year’s draft to a average group that make up the starting unit. They also added RB Ahmad Bradshaw who is one of the most underrated pass blockers in the NFL. Bradshaw is also a better pass catcher than Vick Ballard, so Luck will have another outlet. I didn’t forget the addition of DHB, who should be a nice complimentary player and an upgrade over Donnie Avery.
Outlook: Andrew Luck could be the consensus #1 fantasy QB in a couple of years from now. He has elite physical tools and a supreme football acumen. The change of coordinators should not hurt him in the least and I believe TY Hilton will step up opposite aging veteran Reggie Wayne. I fully expect his completion % to go up and TEs Allen and Fleener to both improve on their rookie seasons as well. This offense is on the upswing and if you want to wait till the middle rounds for your starting QB, Luck is your guy.
Juan – has written 5299 posts on this site.
Juan Elway is an enthusiast of Fantasy Football, Movies, and Combat Sports, but don't call him an expert. He once shook Adrian Peterson's hand and AP winced in pain. Follow him on Twitter where you can partake in all sorts of shenanigans.